|
| Evaluation of the Windows Pesticide Screening Tool (Win-PST) for use in HawaiiThe NRCS Pest Management Policy adopted in November, 2001 (Title 190, General Manual Part 404) requires that Pest Management Plans meeting Conservation Practice Standard 595: "Pest management" be developed where appropriate as part of RMS-level Conservation Planning. Conservation Practice Standard 595 (eFOTG Section IV: http://efotg.nrcs.usda.gov) states that: "Pest management environmental risks … must be evaluated for all identified water resource concerns. [State Standards shall include approved evaluation procedures such as NRCS’ Windows Pesticide Screening Tool (WIN-PST) and National Agricultural Pesticide Risk Analysis (NAPRA).]" At the present time, the State of Hawaii Department of Agriculture (HDOA) uses a locally developed system called the Comprehensive Leaching Risk Assessment System (CLERS) to estimate pesticide leaching risk. This system is based on the Revised Attenuation Factor (AFR) model developed by scientists at the University of Hawaii to simulate Hawaii conditions. For Hawaii to comply with the NRCS Pest Management Policy, either Hawaii NRCS must adopt Win-PST as part of the state Conservation Practice Standard 595 or must obtain national approval to use an alternative risk assessment tool. Concern was expressed by NRCS-Hawaii technical staff that Win-PST, although extensively validated on the US mainland, might not provide accurate results under Hawaii soil and climate conditions. ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to evaluate the Win-PST model under Hawaii conditions and provide a recommendation to the NRCS-Hawaii state technical staff regarding its adoption as part of Conservation Practice Standard 595. Evaluation ComponentsWin-PST was evaluated and compared with CLERS on four major areas: scope, consistency, accuracy and support. Details of the components and criteria used are provide below: Scope
Consistency
Accuracy
Support
Background of the risk assessment systemsThis section provides a short introduction to the major features of both the Win-PST and CLERS systems. Published information concerning the details of both the Win-PST and CLERS systems is available elsewhere. Win-PSTThe Win-PST system was developed through the cooperative efforts of USDA-SCS, USDA-ARS and the Cooperative Extension Service (Goss and Wauchope, 1990). The Win-PST system is based on a mathematical model of the impact of both soil and pesticide properties on leaching risk. Model parameters were identified using a stepwise regression procedure relating a range of combinations of soil and chemical properties to the results of over 40,000 runs of the GLEAMS (Groundwater Loading Effects of Agricultural Management Systems) model (for model details, see Leonard et. al. 1987). Win-PST provides estimates of pesticide pollution risk through leaching, surface water runoff and surface soil runoff. Win-PST was developed and has been validated primarily in the temperate regions of the continental US. CLERSThe CLERS system is a computer-based decision support system that runs under the ArcView GIS software package. This system computes pesticide leaching risk ratings using the Revised Attenuation Factor (AFR) model (Li et. al. 1998). The AFR model is a process-based model that builds on the original attenuation factor (AF) model developed by Rao and others (1985). Both the AF and AFR models use a variety of soil and chemical properties to simulate the impact of these properties on pesticide leaching risk. The AFR model also incorporates the uncertainty in these soil and chemical properties in order to increase the accuracy of model predictions. Although the AF model was originally developed in Florida and adapted for use in Hawaii, the AFR model was developed specifically for use in Hawaii. The CLERS system is currently being used by the HDOA to estimate pesticide leaching risks before issuing application permits and other related licenses. Evaluation resultsAs indicated above, Win-PST was evaluated and compared with the Hawaii-specific CLERS system on four sets of criteria: scope, consistency, accuracy and support. Scope of the SystemsOverall, Win-PST has a broader scope than CLERS both in terms of the input databases used and information outputs. The CLERS system provides more flexibility regarding chemical attributes while the Win-PST system allow for consideration of management practices as well as limited changes in soil properties. Table 1 contains a detailed comparison of the two systems. Table 1 Scope of the Systems
ConsistencyThe second criteria used to evaluate Win-PST was to determine whether Win-PST risk ratings were consistent with CLERS risk ratings. The rationale behind this criteria was that the CLERS system uses Hawaii-specific inputs including pesticide properties (Koc and T ½), incorporates uncertainty to some extent, and has been used successfully in Hawaii for several years. Therefore, CLERS results were assumed to more accurately reflect local conditions. Leaching risk ratings were compared for 38 pesticides and 7 soil map units. The 38 pesticides used were those that were included in both systems. Since both models use soil map unit as the unit of analysis, the State Soil Scientist and State Resource Soil Scientist were consulted to identify soil map units commonly used for agriculture that represented a range of soil conditions. Because of limitations in the CLERS database, the comparison was confined to soils on the islands of Maui and Oahu. A complete list of the soil map units and chemicals used can be found in Appendix 1. Because the systems produce different outputs, some recoding was necessary to facilitate comparison. The Win-PST system rates leaching risk on a five point scale: Very Low, Low, Intermediate, High, Extra High. In contrast, the CLERS system provides one of three ratings: Not Likely, Uncertain and Likely. In addition, an uncertain rating in the CLERS system can have at least two potential interpretations. It can be interpreted as Intermediate between Likely and Unlikely, or it can be interpreted as simply Unknown due to significant variation in one or more of the key chemical properties that influence leaching risk. As a consequence, three different comparisons were used. The variables used in the comparisons are summarized in Table 2. Table 2 Variables used in system comparisons
Basic comparisonThe results of the basic comparison between the two models are shown in Table 3 and Figure 1. There is a significant (g = 0.854, p < 0.05) positive correlation between the risk rankings. Overall, there is a higher level of agreement on high risk situations and a somewhat lower level on lower risk situations with CLERS showing a significant number of Uncertain ratings in situations where Win-PST indicates that the leaching risk is Low. Win-PST action level comparisonThe national NRCS Conservation Practice Standard 595 for Pest Management states that risk mediation is necessary if the Win-PST risk rating is Intermediate, High or Extra High. In this comparison, I reclassified the Win-PST ratings as either "Action required" (Intermediate or High) or "No action required" (Low or Very Low) and compared those to the CLERS ratings. Results of this comparison are shown in Table 4 and Figure 2. As above, there is a significant (g = 0.897, p < 0.05) positive correlation between the two sets of leaching risk ratings. In this comparison, there is strong agreement between the systems regarding both high and low risk situations. The CLEARS "Uncertain" ratings are nearly evenly divided between Win-PST "Action required" and "No action required" ratings. Dual action levelFor the third and final system comparison, I took the same action level approach described in the previous section and applied it to the CLERS system ratings. Under this scenario, both systems produced either a rating of "Action required" or "No action required." As shown in Table 5 and Figure 3, this produces similar results to the two previous comparisons. Ratings remain significantly positively correlated (g = 0.924, p < 0.05). This comparison represents the extreme "safety-first" approach to pesticide pollution risk management. Ratings from both systems would direct land managers to undertake mitigation a significant percentage of the time. CLERS provides a more risk averse rating than Win-PST. Based on CLERS ratings, some form of mitigation would be appropriate in 235 out of 266 situations (88%). Under Win-PST ratings, mitigation would be recommended significantly less often (in 175 of 266 situations or 66%). AccuracyThe third area evaluation criteria was how accurately the two ratings systems predicted pesticide leaching as observed in the field. Unfortunately, due to the high costs (both personnel and time) and the logistics involved, there are few studies that have attempted to measure pesticide leaching in tropical soils under field or laboratory conditions. However two primary sets of data were available: drinking water well monitoring data from Oahu and a field study of pesticide movement conducted by Gavenda et. al. (1996). Additional data was obtained from Schneider et. al. (1990) related to the movement of one specific pesticide, fenamiphos. USGS drinking water well monitoringTwo pesticides, atrazine and dieldrin, were found in Oahu drinking water wells during monitoring by the USGS under the National Water Quality Assessment (NAWQA) Program (data available at: http://wwwdhihnl.wr.usgs.gov/nawqa/gw_sus.html). Atrazine was found in 5 of the 29 wells monitored. Dieldrin was found in 2 wells. The Win-PST system rated atrazine at high risk for leaching on all 7 soils used. The CLERS system also rated atrazine as likely to leach on 6 of 7 soils and uncertain on the 7th (Pane series). The Win-PST system rates dieldrin at low risk of leaching due to its high propensity to be adsorbed on organic matter. It is not included in the CLERS pesticide database. Although Dieldrin is a very persistent pesticide (long half-life), its presence in groundwater is not well explained. Gavenda et. al. (1996), Schneider et. al.(1990) In a study published in 1996, Gavenda and others reported on field experiments conducted in four locations (three on Oahu, one on the Island of Hawaii) to measure downward movement and in situ degradation of five common agricultural pesticides: ametryn, atrazine, chlorpyrifos, fenamiphos and hexazinone. I was able to compare his results for three of the four soils used (the fourth was omitted due to classification questions discussed by the authors in the paper). Unfortunately, CLERS data was not available for the Hilo soil used in the study. Results from the Pane soil (an andisol from Maui) were used for comparison with the explicit recognition of significant differences between the two soils. Table 6 provides a summary of the results. As indicated in the table, Gavenda and his colleagues found evidence of significant downward movement (high leaching potential) for atrazine and hexazinone, moderate downward movement (intermediate leaching potential) for ametryn, and very little movement (low leaching potential) for chlorpyrifos and fenamiphos. Behavior of the chemicals was similar across the soils used in the study. The Win-PST system provided risk assessments consistent with the field data for four of the five chemicals. In the case of fenamiphos, Win-PST produced a "high" risk rating, while field experiments showed little movement. The CLERS model only provided risk ratings for atrazine (two soils) and hexazinone (3 soils). These ratings were consistent with the field data. All other soil-chemical pairs were rated "Uncertain." Using the dual action level method discussed in the previous section would lead a resource professional to recommend action inconsistent with field observations in the case of fenamiphos (both systems) and chlorpyrifos (CLERS only). However, the higher leaching risk rating for fenamiphos is supported by the results of field sampling of soils under pineapple cultivation on Oahu and Lanai reported by Schneider et. al. (1990). They found movement of fenamiphos below the root zone and detectable levels at a depth of three meters suggesting that the leaching potential of fenamiphos may be greater than suggested by the Gavenda et. al. study. SupportThe final evaluation criteria used in this analysis was the availability of support for the risk assessment system. As an officially sanctioned and support NRCS technology, Win-PST has national support from the NRCS Water and Climate Center. The agency is committed to keeping the pesticide database up-to-date. Win-PST is configured to use soils data exported from the NASIS database. As a result, it should be relatively simple to update soils information as necessary. The CLERS system is already being used locally and its use is supported by the HDOA. However, due to funding and personnel constraints, there is limited local support for either system expansion to include new chemicals and additional soil information or to revise existing databases to reflect new information. If NRCS were to adopt this system, agency funding would likely be necessary for system expansion and maintenance. RecommendationsBased on the analysis reported above, I recommend the following:
ReferencesGavenda, R. T., R. E. Green and R. C. Schneider. 1996. Leaching of pesticides in selected Hawaii Oxisols and Andisols as influenced by soil profile characteristics. HITAHR Research Series 075, University of Hawaii. Goss, D. W. and R. D. Wauchope. 1990. The SCS/ARS/CES pesticide properties database: II, using it with soils data in a screening procedure. In Pesticides in the next decade: The challenges ahead. Proceedings of the Third National Research Conference on Pesticides, November 8-9, 1990, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA. D. L. Weigmann (Ed.). Available at: http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/water/quality/common/pestmgt/spisp2.htm Leonard, R. A., W. G. Knisel and D. A. Still. 1987. GLEAMS: Ground water loading effects of agricultural management systems. Trans. ASAE 30(5): 1403-1418. Li, Z. C., R. S. Yost and R. E. Green. 1998. Incorporating uncertainty in chemical leaching assessment. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 29: 285-299. Rao, P. S. C., A. G. Hornsby and R. E. Jessup. 1985. Indices for ranking the potential for pesticide contamination of groundwater. Soil Crop Sci. Soc. Fla. Proc. 44, 1-8. Schneider, R. C., R. E. Green, W. J Apt, D. P. Bartholomew and E. P. Caswell. 1990. Field movement and persistence of fenamiphos in drip-irrigated pineapple soils. Pesticide Science 30: 243-257. Table 3 Basic Comparison
Table 4 Win-PST Action Level Comparison
Table 5 Dual Action Level Comparison
Table 6 Comparison of system ratings with Gavenda et. al. data
Appendix 1: Soils and chemicals used in system comparisonsSoil Map UnitsKeahua (KnB), Maui Kolekole (KuB), Oahu Lahaina (LaB), Maui Molokai (MuA), Oahu Pane (PXD), Maui Wahiawa (WaA), Oahu Waialua (WkA), Oahu Chemicals2,4,5 T Cryomazine Methoxychlor 2,4 D DBCP Methyl bromide Aldicarb Dicamba Metribuzin Aldicarb sulfoxide Diuron Oxamyl Ametryn EDB Paraquat Anilazine Endosulfan Prometon Atrazine Fenamiphos Prometryn Bromacil Glyphosate Propazine Captafol Heptachlor Simazine Carbofuran Hexazinone Toxaphene Chlordane Lindane Trichlorfon Chlorpyrifos Malathion Triclopyr Cyanazine Methomyl Tropical Technology Consortium ContactMichael (Mike) Robotham Edwin Más John H. (Bart) Lawrence |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|